Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.058138 0.062967 0.067848 0.073145 0.078723 0.084416 0.090656
2025-02-09 0.051456 0.058639 0.066150 0.074560 0.083686 0.093265 0.104050
2025-02-16 0.047376 0.056452 0.066221 0.077454 0.089948 0.103358 0.118778
2025-02-23 0.040693 0.050744 0.061882 0.075025 0.089996 0.106407 0.125646
2025-03-02 0.036131 0.046983 0.059332 0.074244 0.091583 0.110938 0.134001
2025-03-09 0.032457 0.043915 0.057281 0.073767 0.093296 0.115447 0.142219
2025-03-16 0.030822 0.043117 0.057759 0.076133 0.098228 0.123607 0.154626
2025-03-23 0.028887 0.041774 0.057435 0.077421 0.101798 0.130138 0.165137
2025-03-30 0.027023 0.040366 0.056903 0.078345 0.104852 0.136013 0.174867
2025-04-06 0.024851 0.038398 0.055533 0.078113 0.106405 0.140034 0.182365
2025-04-13 0.023768 0.037784 0.055814 0.079891 0.110391 0.146968 0.193358
2025-04-20 0.021764 0.035787 0.054190 0.079148 0.111162 0.149945 0.199553
2025-04-27 0.020285 0.034463 0.053426 0.079520 0.113383 0.154792 0.208173
2025-05-04 0.019302 0.033773 0.053461 0.080903 0.116882 0.161233 0.218790
2025-05-11 0.018966 0.033992 0.054717 0.083903 0.122477 0.170330 0.232757
2025-05-18 0.016763 0.031315 0.051863 0.081302 0.120738 0.170177 0.235229
2025-05-25 0.015317 0.029675 0.050369 0.080458 0.121226 0.172784 0.241111
2025-06-01 0.014091 0.028291 0.049164 0.079945 0.122098 0.175848 0.247553
2025-06-08 0.013825 0.028411 0.050127 0.082442 0.126998 0.184105 0.260604
2025-06-15 0.013260 0.028006 0.050291 0.083800 0.130364 0.190397 0.271197
2025-06-22 0.012630 0.027451 0.050201 0.084776 0.133202 0.196013 0.280952
2025-06-29 0.011731 0.026383 0.049286 0.084529 0.134347 0.199405 0.287863
2025-07-06 0.011412 0.026291 0.049847 0.086407 0.138412 0.206644 0.299758